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How accurate are Ohio price ranges?

Every Ohio figure labelled "Price range" on Groundwork passed a sealed test before it was shown: we priced real sales using only data from before each sale, then compared. Figures labelled "Rough estimate" did not reach that standard; their measured miss is listed too. Where a county's test failed outright, its parcels show no figure.

Parcels with a tested range25,205in 2 counties, Oct 24, 2026
Sales in those tests1,393priced with data from before each sale
Parcels with a rough estimate1,866,896not tested to our price-range standard

Tested price ranges

Half within: half of the test sales came within this much of the middle of our range (the median miss). Inside the range: the share of scored test sales that fell inside the printed range. A range whose final check is not passed by its due date is withdrawn (the parcel then shows facts only).

CountyPricedTestTest sales fromTest salesHalf withinInside the rangeParcels with this rangeFinal check
Hamilton CountycondominiumsValue test (oh-value-1)Oct 2025–Sep 20261,252±15%78%14,573Due Apr 2027
Holmes CountyhomesValue test (oh-value-1)Oct 2025–Sep 2026141±15%79%10,632Due Apr 2027

Rough estimates

Where a county's own sales were too few for a sealed test, or its test missed our standard but stayed usable, the card says "Rough estimate" and gives the miss measured where it was measured: in the county, or across the state's pooled sales. Each label says the range covers about 8 in 10 sales.

Miss measuredHalf withinCoversParcels
Cuyahoga County±20%Land and building390,615
Montgomery County±15%Land and building178,790
Hamilton County±20%Land and building133,501
Stark County±15%Land and building130,740
Lorain County±10%Land and building117,763
Franklin County±10%Land and building111,119
Mahoning County±20%Land and building81,008
Lake County±15%Land and building78,698
Delaware County±10%Land and building77,650
Clermont County±15%Land and building62,681
Medina County±15%Land and building62,553
Summit County±20%Land and building59,617
Greene County±10%Land and building55,887
Fairfield County±15%Land and building51,516
Miami County±15%Land and building40,130
Allen County±20%Land and building34,589
Geauga County±15%Land and building30,893
Cuyahoga County±15%Land and building28,878
Belmont County±20%Land and building24,838
Huron County±15%Land and building18,950
Shelby County±15%Land and building16,424
Clinton County±15%Land and building13,985
Summit County±15%Land and building12,377
Montgomery County±10%Land and building11,169
Lake County±10%Land and building10,650
Clermont County±5%Land and building4,968
Mahoning County±10%Land and building4,633
Ottawa County±10%Land and building3,673
Medina County±10%Land and building3,634
Erie County±10%Land and building2,930
Fayette County±20%Land and building2,848
Stark County±40%Land only1,745
Licking County±10%Land and building1,697
Geauga County±10%Land and building1,374
Fairfield County±30%Land only1,342
Mahoning County±30%Land only1,341
Across Ohio±10%Land and building1,291
Miami County±5%Land and building399

What did not pass

The value test (oh-value-1, sealed sales Oct 2025–Sep 2026) checked 158 groups: 2 passed as a tested range, 70 are shown as rough estimates and 86 show no figure.

Buy-for prices: 0 of 65 testable groups passed (oh-buyfor-1), so Ohio parcels show no buy-for price.

Sources and dates

Test sales: recorded Ohio sales on file for each county. Test figures: our out-of-time test reports and, where run, sealed final checks (oh-value-1, oh-buyfor-1). Parcel counts: our Ohio map on Oct 24, 2026. Estimates are for your own analysis, not an appraisal or a broker price opinion.

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